556 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 111435
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
 1500Z THU AUG 11 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 110.5W AT 11/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 110.5W AT 11/1500Z
 AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 110.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.0N 112.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 114.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.5N 116.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 117.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.5N 119.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N 122.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N 124.0W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 110.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$

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