349 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 112027
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
 2100Z THU AUG 11 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 110.9W AT 11/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 110.9W AT 11/2100Z
 AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 110.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.3N 112.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.0N 113.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.5N 114.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.0N 116.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 118.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 120.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.0N 124.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 110.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$
 

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