564 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 140235
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
 0300Z SUN AUG 14 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 115.6W AT 14/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 30NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 115.6W AT 14/0300Z
 AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.1N 116.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.7N 117.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.3N 118.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.2N 120.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.3N 122.6W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 14.5N 125.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 127.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 115.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
  
  
 $$
 

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