214 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 142029
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
 2100Z SUN AUG 14 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
 AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.0N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 115.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$
 

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